LS-Labs

Glossary

What is Simpson’s paradox?

An association in pooled data can disappear or reverse within groups because the mix of observations differs.

An association in pooled data can disappear or reverse within groups because the mix of observations differs.

The overall rate can conceal group differences

Invented example: method A succeeds on 9 of 10 easy tasks and 30 of 100 hard tasks. Method B succeeds on 80 of 100 easy tasks and 2 of 10 hard tasks. A performs better within both groups, yet its overall rate, 39/110, is lower than B’s 82/110 because A handles far more hard tasks.

Why it matters for GEO evidence

Large sites may receive more AI citations and also use FAQs more often. A positive association across sites may disappear when pages are compared within the same site. Neither a causal benefit of FAQs nor their universal uselessness follows from these observations.

Grouping needs a causal rationale

Choose groups based on the research question and the role of each variable. A changed association prompts a review of the explanation; it does not automatically establish which analysis is causal. The brand-ranking article (Traditional Chinese) illustrates the distinction between across-site and within-site evidence.

Sources

Definitions and source documents checked on 2026-11-07. Examples marked as illustrative are not measured results.

← Back to glossary